This year we will spend 19% of of our gross domestic product on health care. That’s right — about $10,000 for every man woman and child, or in total dollars about 3.9 trillion with a T (11 zeros by the way). In the few seconds of time it took you to reach that last sentence we just spent about $500,000 on healthcare. It dwarfs our defense spending, the stimulus, even our social programs spending. Why can’t we get this item to the forefront of the national agenda? I’ll tell you: the solution is ugly, complex and highly disruptive to the very efficient process by which healthcare companies give large amounts of money to congressman to help them get reelected.
Why are healthcare costs so high, and why do they continually outpace inflation? It’s not that services are much more expensive to perform today than ten years ago. A physical exam, for instance, should cost now what it did a few years ago. The problem is, we are in the midst of a healthcare bubble, much like the real estate bubble we’ve all become familiar with recently. For instance, one way health costs rise is when insurers clamp down on allowables, forcing providers to shift costs to compensate, leaving the patient with a higher bill. Compound that with rising drug prices, staff shortages, expensive medical devices, and other factors, and you end up in our present situation wherein healthcare costs are rising double the rate of inflation.
In dollar terms, we absolutely have to take about 1.5 trillion to 2.0 trillion out of the clutches of a large number of cottage industries. I am not sure we can do it because I am not sure we have the will as a nation. Within 15 years at the current rate, healthcare will completely bankrupt the US, not just one sector but all of them…kaput!
In specific terms we need to reduce drug spending by $100 billion or 30%, insurance spending by $600 billion (about 50%,
Medicare and Medicaid total about $556 billion) and provider transactional costs by another $500 billion or about 21%. These are the targets we need to aim for, no matter how we get there. Not many people are willing to talk frankly about how dire the situation is. Our politicians need to be more direct about what effect this out-of-control health spending will have on our nation. This is frightening stuff, and our leaders can’t afford to keep us in the dark.
To see some facts and figures on the rising costs of healthcare, see the National Coalition on Health Care and this page from the Kaiser Foundation.